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AmericasJanuary 2 2018

Can Venezuela restructure its way out of disaster?

Despite a wealth of natural resources, Venezuela has turned into an economic and humanitarian disaster zone. As it teeters on the edge of default, Silvia Pavoni examines what may become the most complex sovereign debt restructuring in modern times – and a test of how China handles troubled foreign investments.
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Venezuela is blessed with resources, from the largest proven oil reserves in the world, to bauxite, iron ore, gold and diamonds. Besides strategic minerals such as cobalt, which is used in hi-tech industries, it has Caribbean beaches and natural wonders such as Angel Falls. It has the potential to be an economic paradise, yet the country is teetering on the edge of default, leaving the world wondering how a debt restructuring would work in the internationally sanctioned country, and how its most powerful partner, China, would deal with local investments turning sour.

Stakes and emotions are running high – not least because of the humanitarian crisis that is erupting from a cruel and deep recession. “How do you destroy a country that has all these natural resources?” asks Russ Dallen in disbelief, the head of investment bank Caracas Capital and publisher of local newspaper the Latin American Herald Tribune.

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Silvia Pavoni is editor in chief of The Banker. Silvia also serves as an advisory board member for the Women of the Future Programme and for the European Risk Management Council, and is part of the London council of non-profit WILL, Women in Leadership in Latin America. In 2019, she was awarded an honorary fellowship by City University of London.
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