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WorldJuly 2 2012

China slows down to play the long game

The growth of China's economy is slowing, and with it the profit margins of its leading banks. However, with an increasing focus on SME lending, opportunities opening up in wealth management and the capital markets, and the renminbi edging ever nearer to achieving international reserve currency status, the mood among the country's bankers is still one of optimism, albeit of the more cautious variety.
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China slows down to play the long game

The global economic downturn is creating new realities in China, as well as opportunities to realign and rebalance the economy on a more sustainable growth model. The new, lower annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth target of 7.5% announced in the recent draft budget not only reflects the financial realities facing China, caused by the ongoing troubles in the global economy, particularly Europe, but also Beijing’s long-term goal of seeking more balanced growth with less reliance on investment and net exports and a greater role for domestic consumption. 

The new lower growth target is in line with the lower 7% annual target in China’s 12th Five-Year-Plan (2011-2015) and is understood to be part of a new era of financial sector reform and liberalisation. With new political leadership coming later in the year, the groundwork is being done for a rebalancing of the economic structure, a new round of strategic reforms and greater private sector participation.

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