Share the article
twitter-iconcopy-link-iconprint-icon
share-icon
Analysis & opinionJanuary 3 2012

Italy's fall: a catastrophe waiting to happen?

Italy's recent debt problems can be traced back to years of mismanagement by the country's self-serving politicians on both sides of the political fence. Mario Monti's 'technocrat' government, however, offers hope of a short-term financial revival and a long-term rethink of the manner in which Italian politics is conducted.
Share the article
twitter-iconcopy-link-iconprint-icon
share-icon
Italy's fall: a catastrophe waiting to happen?

The first half of the 1990s was a traumatic period for Italy. During the previous decade the country had successfully followed the discipline of the European Monetary System (EMS), inflation had reduced and exchange rate parity, after several adjustments, had been constant for more than five years. Then, in 1992, the Maastricht Treaty was signed promising the arrival of the euro by the close of the decade.

The Maastricht Treaty required further decreases in Italy’s inflation rate and a major adjustment in the country's public deficit. The latter was much higher than the treaty limit of 3% of gross domestic product (GDP), especially because of the interest bill on the public debt accumulated in the 1970s and the 1980s. The bill was high because the debt was high, and also because the interest rates on Italian treasuries contained a high premium for inflation and exchange rate uncertainty.

To continue reading, join our community and benefit from

  • In-depth coverage across key markets
  • Comments from financial leaders and policymakers worldwide
  • Regional/country bank rankings and awards
Activate your free trial