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WorldApril 1 2019

EBRD chief economist highlights ageing challenge for eastern Europe

The fear of a country ‘getting old before it gets rich’ has been applied to China. But the EBRD’s chief economist, Sergei Guriev, tells Brian Caplen that this is also a challenge for eastern European countries.
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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development’s (EBRD’s) transition report for 2018-19 is called 'Work in Transition' and it looks at three trends that have huge implications for the growth and development of the region covered by the institution: ageing populations, the spread of automation, and migration.

Until recently, the economic advantage that most emerging markets had was a young population prepared to work in low- to medium-tech manufacturing for wages that were low in global terms. This was how the Asian tiger countries such as Taiwan and South Korea transformed themselves. 

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