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AmericasAugust 6 2006

Argentina must stick with current course

Orthodox ‘adjustment’ policies risk destroying the gains made since the 2001 crisis, namely high growth and investment rates as well as reasonably low inflation and unemployment, says Roberto Lavagna.
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Argentina ended 2005 with an exceptionally positive economic situation, which offers enormous manoeuvring space for the current year as well as for an analysis of the medium-term prospects for the country.

Argentina has enjoyed growth of 9% for three consecutive years, twin surpluses of more than 4.4% in fiscal accounts and of 3% in the current account of the balance of payments. A record investment rate of about 24% of GDP in the last quarter and of more than 21% for the whole year has been achieved. Conversely, during the 1990s, the investment rate never reached 20% of GDP.

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