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Asia-PacificApril 2 2006

Stalled reforms mar optimism

Despite inflation and diversification worries, the economy is expected to boom for decades to come, but the reform programme is suffering.Christopher Pala reports.
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Inexorably rising oil revenues and a leadership committed to a market economy have put Kazakhstan on an upward course that is expected to continue well beyond the next decade, when the volume of oil and gas exports may finally plateau.

“Consumption alone will drive this economy for the next 20 years,” says Pedro Rodriguez, senior economist at the World Bank in Almaty. “Our projections show that the big income from oil will start in 2020.”

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