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Western EuropeSeptember 3 2012

Will unorthodox thinking keep Turkey's economy stable?

Turkey’s central bank has apparently achieved the impossible by successfully tackling inflation, stabilising the country's currency and combating speculative inflows through an unconventional mix of interest rate cuts and tweaking reserve requirements. But can these changes hold up against the changing economic climate?
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Will unorthodox thinking keep Turkey's economy stable?

Since December 2010, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) has been pursuing its main policy goals of bringing down inflation, holding the Turkish lira stable, controlling the current account deficit and combating speculative inflows through a policy mix that has been variously dubbed, criticised and even on occasion derided as 'unorthodox', 'unconventional', 'neo-modern', and even 'neo-post modern'.

Certainly controlling the exchange rate and inflows of speculative 'hot money' by means of a variable interest rate corridor – and tweaking reserve requirement ratios (RRR) using an arcane table of coefficients to put a cap on credit growth – is unusual.

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