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DatabankJuly 23 2021

UK banks’ outlook steady amid bumpy operating environment

Bank profitability forecast to improve in the near term on the back of a decline in provisions after a pandemic-related spike in 2020.
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Asset quality at UK leading banks is expected to decline moderately as the government and Bank of England withdraws pandemic support, pushing up unemployment, according to Moody’s.

However, ample loan-loss provisions and strong residential property prices, which support collateral values, should limit bank losses, while new lending growth on the back of the improving economy is expected to slow the increase in the sector’s problem loan ratio.

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