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Editor’s blogMarch 31 2015

The UK economy is a ticking time bomb

The UK may have returned to growth, but with its budget deficit still dangerously high, the economy largely failing in its drive to develop non-banking sectors and a lack of political ambition to solve either of these problems, it is only a matter of time before it falls back into a recession. 
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The UK’s economy may be growing at 2.5% and creating lots of new jobs but there is a high risk of it returning to crisis before long. Things are not helped by national elections on May 7, in which none of the contesting parties has a watertight plan to deal with even the short-term challenges the country faces, yet alone the long-term ones.

For banks, the good news is that they cannot be blamed solely for the next crisis, as they were for the last one, but it also means that raising return on equity levels to reasonable levels will become that much harder.

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