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Middle EastJune 1 2016

Lebanese economy endures despite Syria civil war

Proximity to war-torn Syria is piling on the pressure for Lebanon, which faces plummeting tourist numbers and an influx of refugees. Yet the country's GDP continues to show modest growth, and offshore oil reserves wait to be tapped if the political will can be found. 
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“Resilient” is an oft-used word when describing Lebanon and its economy, and it is hard to come up with a better description. Despite political stasis and the continual threat of unrest, in the absence of desperately needed financial reform, and in conditions that ought to produce a failed state, the country grinds on.

Gross domestic product (GDP) grew 1% in 2015 to $51.2bn, according to the International Monetary Fund; a reasonable figure, but a far cry from the 8% to 10% growth in the years before Syria entered crisis mode. Spillover from the Syrian civil war is a drag on the Lebanese economy. Others are domestic political paralysis and low oil prices.

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