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Investment bankingFebruary 1 2012

Equity businesses prepare for a bloody 2012

A miserable reporting session is expected for the first few months of 2012, and equity bankers are expected to bear the brunt of it with widespread bloodletting predicted in the market. However, some senior figures claim that consolidation in the equity sector is long overdue, with overcrowding pushing down markets to unsustainable levels.
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JPMorgan was the first major US bank to report its figures from the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2011, in the second week in January 2012. It began what turned into a dismal reporting session. JPMorgan's investment bank profits fell 52% to $726m on a 30% drop in revenue. The bank, which ranked fourth in Thomson Reuters' global equity and equity-related league table and first in the US, saw equity underwriting fees plunge by 65%.

Equity bankers had been expecting the worst. Last year global equity capital markets (ECM) activity was down by 28% and the fourth quarter was the slowest three-month period since the height of the financial crisis in the first quarter of 2009. Global initial public offerings (IPO) volume was down by 40% on the year before, and follow-ons were down by 22%. According to estimates from US-based consultancy Freeman Consulting, fees from ECM transactions during the year were down by 23% on 2010.

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