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Investment bankingNovember 27 2009

Distressed debt: banking on bad news

Moody's says defaults will peak this year, but distressed debt investors say the default trend has only just begun. Writer Suzanne Miller
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Jason Mudrick interrupts his telephone conversation a third time to shout out an order. His other line rings again - and again. In between bellowing orders for deals and conversing, he is scouring a database of 600 companies that he is betting will go bust. Mr Mudrick runs Mudrick Capital Management, a hedge fund that focuses on distressed debt - one of legions launched this year.

He calls his list "zombie companies - the walking dead" that are "prospectively in default", but are delaying doomsday by extending maturities and buying bonds back on the open market. He says that these companies have a 60% chance of filing for bankruptcy over the next five years.

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