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Transaction bankingOctober 3 2011

Goodbye to FX safe havens

Global currency markets have become increasingly volatile as European policy-makers struggle to resolve the sovereign debt crisis and emerging economies try to limit currency rises at the same time as taming inflation. Traditional safe haven countries have been prompted to take historic action in a bid to stem currency appreciation and support exports. But are there any safe havens any more?
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Goodbye to FX safe havens

For most of 2011, Asian and other emerging market currencies moved consistently higher against the dollar, but their seemingly unstoppable appreciation came to an abrupt end in September. The falls began in Asia, where the South Korean won dropped by 2.2% against the dollar on September 19, 2011, followed by the Indonesian rupiah, which fell by 1.5%.

By the same date, the Asia Dollar index, compiled by JPMorgan and Bloomberg, which tracks the region’s 10 most traded currencies (excluding the yen), had fallen 2.5% against the dollar, wiping out almost all of the gains made since the start of the year.

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