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Investment bankingJanuary 2 2019

M&A mega-deals and the endless carousel

Cross-border M&A has always been long-winded, costly and risky, but several deals that closed in 2018 stretched beyond reasonably foreseeable timescales. What is making these mergers more painful? Kat Van Hoof investigates the mechanics of antitrust in mega-mergers and the rise of protectionism.
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Two years, millions of pages of paperwork and $9bn-worth of divestments. That is what it took to get Bayer’s $66bn takeover of Monsanto, a US-based seeds and pesticides business, across the finish line. In the meantime, Bayer’s share price slid by 25% to 40%, depending on whether it is counted from the initial announcement or from when rumours of the takeover started to swirl.

Nevertheless, Werner Baumann, the German pharmaceuticals giant’s CEO, has said he has “absolutely no regrets” regarding the deal. At the same time, court battles regarding the potential health risks of Monsanto’s flagship Roundup pesticide are mounting and Bayer’s 2018 earnings are set to come in lower than forecast. Investors could be forgiven for asking themselves: was the two-year-long battle worth it?

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