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DatabankOctober 31 2023

Polish loans set to increase amid slowdown in country growth

The future government will face three major economic challenges: a marked slowdown in growth, a deterioration in budget deficit and an increase in credit risk.
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Polish loan growth should accelerate marginally from -0.6% year on year in May 2023 to 1.8% at the end of 2023 because a new housing programme will considerably boost demand for mortgages, says Fitch Solutions in a note. 

However, lending will remain weak because factors such as elevated inflation and high interest rates will weigh on consumer demand for loans. The ongoing fallout surrounding Swiss franc mortgages will continue to reduce banks’ appetite for extending loans. On June 15, 2023, the European Court of Justice ruled in favour of Swiss franc mortgage holders, stating that Polish banks encouraged customers to take out the loans more than a decade ago.

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Barbara Pianese is the Latin America editor at The Banker. She joined from Mergermarket, where she spent four years covering mergers and acquisitions across Europe with a focus on the consumer sector. She holds an MA in International and Diplomatic Affairs from the University of Bologna having studied in Brazil and France as well.
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