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Asia-PacificApril 2 2006

Winners and losers in the race to China

Chinese banking has become something of a gold rush. But some newcomers may be too optimistic about their prospects of hitting a rich seam. Kazuhiko Shimizu investigates.The stampede of foreign investors into China’s state-owned banking sector has all the aspects of a 21st-century gold rush: expectations of lucrative returns, competition for the best niches and plenty of risk.
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Foreign banks and other investors have poured about $20bn into more than 18 Chinese banks and plenty more deals are still in the pipeline. Clearly, many are keen to stake out claims in the $1700bn industry before China fully opens the industry to foreign competition by the end of this year, in keeping with its market-opening commitments to the World Trade Organization.

“It’s the fashion right now. If you are not doing it, you are out of the loop,” says Lawrence Brahm, chairman of NAGA Group, an investment consulting company in Beijing. HSBC, Citigroup, Bank of America and Royal Bank of Scotland are just a few of the many banks that have made multi-billion dollar commitments as they jostle for global dominance.

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