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AfricaJune 1 2015

Can Angola weather the oil price storm?

Angola’s steady story of economic growth has been badly disrupted by the global collapse in oil prices. Can the 'ultimate petrostate' weather the storm?
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Can Angola weather the oil price storm?

The unprecedented collapse of oil prices in the final six months of 2014 created winners and losers around the world; Angola clearly belongs to the latter category. To call the country a petrostate would be an understatement – pumping out 1.75 million barrels per day in 2014, the oil industry contributes 95% of Angola’s exports, 45% of its gross domestic product (GDP) and 80% of government revenues.

As the price of oil slid from just under $100 per barrel in mid-July to $40 by late February, the Angolan government’s budgetary plans were slowly reduced to tatters. Having originally set out 2015's budget with a baseline of $80 per barrel, it was forced to issue a secondary budget in early March. This planned for a per-barrel minimum of $40, slashed public expenditure by 25% and increased the government’s budget deficit from 5% to 6.9%.

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